Think Blue

Obsessing over the Dodgers' minor league system so you don't have to.

Tuesday, September 01, 2009

Minor League Recap - 9/01/09

Albuquerque lost 12-7

Chin Lung Hu - 1 for 4, 2 K's (.295 BA)
Blake DeWitt - 2 for 5, RBI, R, K (.258 BA)
Xavier Paul - 0 for 1 (.340 BA)

http://tinyurl.com/l8wvcj


Chattanooga won 2-0

Trayvon Robinson - 1 for 4, RBI, K, OF Assist (.244 BA)
Andrew Lambo -2 for 3, R, SB (.258 BA)
Lucas May - 1 for 2, BB, K (.303 BA)

Chris Withrow - 5 IP, 2 Hits, 0 R, 3 BB, 8 K's (3.95 ERA)

http://tinyurl.com/nsxk9b


Inland Empire lost 7-5

Scott Van Slyke - 3 for 5, 2 RBI, R, K (.296 BA)
Preston Mattingly - 0 for 4, RBI, 2 K's (.233 BA)

Hiroki Kuroda - 5 IP, 5 Hits, R (0 ER), BB, 5 K's (3.29 ERA)
Tim Sexton - 4 IP, 7 Hits, 6 ER, 2 BB, 5 K's (3.76 ERA)

http://tinyurl.com/kr4sxc


Great Lakes did not play


Ogden won 6-5

BCG - 0 for 6 (.326 BA)
Mario Songco - 1 for 6, R, 2 K's (.333 BA)
Clay Calfee - 3 for 6, 2B, HR (2), 2 RBI, R, K (.375 BA)
JT Wise - 2 for 6, 2B, R, K (.305 BA)
Nick Akins - 2 for 4, 2B, HR (3), 2 RBI, 2 R, 2 BB (.267 BA)

Brett Wallach - 3.2 IP, 3 Hits, ER, BB, 7 K's (4.50 ERA)
Javier Solano - 3 IP, 3 Hits, ER, 2 BB, K (3.99 ERA)

http://tinyurl.com/n6w8ou


Player of the day - Chris Withrow, RHP

This was Withrow's most impressive Double A outing yet. The precocious 20 year old has actually lowered his ERA while pitching against competition that averages 4 years older than him. Chris' biggest problem is his control, but not against righties; he's only surrendered a total of 17 in over 50 innings against them. Once he can improve his command against lefties, Withrow will be ready for the big leagues.

posted by Jared @ 11:13 PM  

2 Comments:

  • At 12:23 PM , Blogger Emperor361 said...

    * I'm liking Wallach's K rate of late

    * It may be time to declare the Preston Mattingly pick as Logan White's worst first round pick of the decade (including the supplemental round). Just to be provocative, I'll give Logan some "20/20 hindsight" grades going back to 2002, the year he was hired.
    - Aaron Miller (2009 #36 A): A/still too early to tell
    - Ethan Martin (2008 #15 A): B-/still too early to tell
    - Chris Withrow (2007 #20 AA): A-
    - James Adkins (2007 #39 AA): C-
    - Clayton Kershaw (2006 #7 MLB): A+
    - Bryan Morris (2006 #26 A/Pirates): D (now having behavioral issues)
    - Preston Mattingly (2006 #31 High-A): F
    - Luke Hochevar (2005 #40 MLB): B- (yes, he's a major leaguer, but was unsignable that year)
    - Scott Elbert (2004 #17 MLB): B+
    - Blake Dewitt (2004 #28 reached MLB): B
    - Justin Orenduff (2004 #33 reached AAA): C+
    - Chad Billingsley (2003 #24 MLB): A+
    - James Loney (2002 #19 MLB): A
    - Greg Miller (2002 #31 reached AAA): C


    What would be your grades here, Jered?

    It's really interesting to look at the 2003 First Round. There are 6 big hits--
    2. Rickie Weeks
    7. Nick Markakis
    9. John Danks
    13. Aaron Hill
    24. Chad Billingsley
    29. Carlos Quentin

    Another 13 guys who have reached the majors but are not yet top-shelf (Delmon Young, Tim Stauffer, Paul Maholm, Ian Stewart, Lastings Milledge, Ryan Wagner, Brian Anderson, David Murphy, Conor Jackson, Chad Cordero, David Aardsma, Brandon Wood, and Daric Barton).

    The remaining 11 picks have not yet reached the majors, which is a 35% failure rate, which seems too high, but these are about the same numbers to be found in 2002.

    If we surmise from the 2002 and 2003 drafts that a 20% star + 40% solid MLBer + 40% failure distribution is normal, we can see how Logan White's drafts compare to that benchmark. It turns out, that of the 10 first rounders between 2002 and 2006, 20% (Kershaw and Billingsley) are stars, 40% (Hochevar, Elbert, Dewitt, and Loney) are or likely will become solid MLBers, and 40% (Orenduff, Miller, Mattingly, and Morriss) appear to be busts. Exactly the same distribution as MLB as a whole. So Logan White's first rounders seem to be average. Where he has really shined, of course, are the highly productive lower picks.

     

  • At 11:01 PM , Blogger Jared said...

    Really didn't expect this many K's from Wallach. I'm liking it too. 16 in his last 7.2 IP.

    Those grades look fair. The Morris one seems a little harsh, considering he helped land Manny, though it's understandable if you're looking at his long-term value. Hochevar was worth a gamble and nearly came to terms, but his refusal to sign and re-entrance landed the Dodgers Clayton Kershaw, which was extremely serendipitous.

    I don't know if Weeks can really be considered a "big hit", given his struggles at the ML level. Hill has also been hot and cold. It just goes to show how lucky the Dodgers are to have Logan White. I'd be interested to know how other GMs have done over that same time period to get a read on how accurate that 20/40/40 split is.

     

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